Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Alex Bolt		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.46
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	2.35 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
60.2%

Alex Rybakov
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rybakov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 163. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295.

Recent form of Bolt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rybakov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rybakov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Robin Bertrand - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Ioannis Xilas - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
16.07.18	Alex Rybakov - Alex Bolt	1:2

Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide