Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Alex De Minaur		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.43	2.8
	1.45	2.77
	1.48	2.83
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.96	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	2.81 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
66.1%

Alexander Shevchenko
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Alex De Minaur - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches De Minaur is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shevchenko is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shevchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Alex De Minaur - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Marton Fucsovics - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
04.03.23	Tommy Paul - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Pedro Cachin - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Miguel Damas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

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