Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Alex De Minaur		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.85
	1.45	2.77
	1.48	2.85
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
65.6%

Marco Cecchinato
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Alex De Minaur - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 64.6% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2.

Recent matches De Minaur is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cecchinato is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Barcelona
21.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Grigor Dimitrov	De Minaur A. walkover ✺
19.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 L?WLW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Marton Fucsovics - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
17.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
08.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
03.06.21	Alex De Minaur - Marco Cecchinato	1:3
27.09.20	Marco Cecchinato - Alex De Minaur	3:0
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.19	Alex De Minaur - Marco Cecchinato	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.19	Marco Cecchinato - Alex De Minaur	0:3
ATP Roma
13.05.19	Alex De Minaur - Marco Cecchinato	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.18	Marco Cecchinato - Alex De Minaur	1:3

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