Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Alex De Minaur		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.20	4.50	Watch
	1.21	4.25
	1.22	4.25	Watch
	1.2	4.18	Watch
	1.24	4.20
	1.21	4.54	Watch
	1.20	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.17)	4.32 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
78.1%

Mariano Navone
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Navone will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10., and Navone is ranked ATP: 45..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

De Minaur may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, De Minaur is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, De Minaur has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
26.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 ?WWWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Mariano Navone - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	James Duckworth - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
29.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone	2:0

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