Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Final

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.62	2.30
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.38
	1.68	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.30
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.64	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	2.24 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
57.3%

Raphael Collignon
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Tsitsipas's performance.

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raphael Collignon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	0%	55%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Collignon will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raphael Collignon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 85. Collignon is ranked ATP: 42.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.47%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad
18.07.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Jerome Kym - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Gstaad
18.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

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