Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.63
	1.5	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 (1.52)	2.58 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
63%

Learner Tien
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tien will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 82. Tien is ranked ATP: 20.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tsitsipas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.62%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW
- Learner Tien
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Learner Tien - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Learner Tien - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.26	Learner Tien - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLL

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