Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Alex Martinez		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.39	1.64
	2.26	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.87)	1.57 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Martinez
40.4%

Andrea Guerrieri
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Martinez's form might have worsened.

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Guerrieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Martinez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alex Martinez - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guerrieri will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 311. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 338.

In recent matches, Martinez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guerrieri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Martinez - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Martinez Tennis
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Alex Martinez - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Calvin Hemery - Alex Martinez	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Alex Martinez - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Alex Martinez - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Martinez - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Radu Albot - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Alex Martinez - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide