Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Martinez		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.16
	1.67	2.25
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.11 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Martinez
55.6%

Miguel Tobon
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alex Martinez - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martinez will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tobon will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Martinez (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tobon (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 429. Tobon is ranked ATP: 588.

In recent matches, Martinez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tobon is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Martinez Tennis
ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Alex Martinez - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Martinez	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Adam Jilly - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Alex Martinez - Saba Purtseladze	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Miguel Tobon - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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