Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: WACO (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Alex Michelsen		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.76	2.04
	1.76	2.1
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.08	Watch
	1.74	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
54.5%

Alexandre Muller
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alex Michelsen - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Muller will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
03.03.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Alex Bolt - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Alex Michelsen - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
03.03.23	Seong Chan Hong - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
01.03.23	Marco Trungelliti - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
23.02.23	Andy Murray - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Alexandre Muller - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

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