Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Brayden Schnur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.22	3.8
	1.26	3.99
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.65	Watch
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)	3.7 ↑ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
74.7%

Brayden Schnur
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Brayden Schnur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brayden Schnur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brayden Schnur than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brayden Schnur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Michelsen - Brayden Schnur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Maxime Janvier - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL
- Brayden Schnur
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Skander Mansouri - Brayden Schnur	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Brayden Schnur - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Brayden Schnur - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Federico Agustin Gomez - Brayden Schnur	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Brayden Schnur - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL

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