Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Titouan Droguet		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.7	1.42
	2.88	1.45
	2.89	1.45
	2.62	1.44
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.5)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
34.2%

Alex Michelsen
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Titouan Droguet - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Droguet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Mitchell Krueger - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Brandon Holt - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Viktor Durasovic - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Titouan Droguet - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Denis Kudla - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Tennys Sandgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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