Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Alex Michelsen		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.9	1.88	Watch
	1.84	2.08
	1.87	2.01	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.9	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
50.9%

Benjamin Bonzi
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.4%	2.6%	78.9%

Alex Michelsen - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 124.

Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonzi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alex Michelsen - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Metz
07.11.24	Quentin Halys - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Manuel Guinard - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

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