Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Alex Michelsen		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.38	1.55
	2.36	1.57
	2.3	1.65
	2.38	1.53
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2.33	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.76)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
40.6%

Leandro Riedi
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leandro Riedi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leandro Riedi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Alex Michelsen - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Riedi will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Riedi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Riedi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
04.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Alex Bolt - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Alex Michelsen - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Marseille
23.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Leandro Riedi - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
10.01.23	Leandro Riedi - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
09.01.23	Tim Van Rijthoven - Leandro Riedi	van Rijthoven T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLW?

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