Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alex Michelsen		Lukas Klein

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.79	2.13
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	2.11 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
54.8%

Lukas Klein
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Lukas Klein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Klein than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Klein could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Alex Michelsen - Lukas Klein Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Klein will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Klein is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Klein could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Tommy Paul - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Alex Michelsen - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
22.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Lukas Klein
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Jakub Mensik - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Lukas Klein - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Casper Ruud - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
05.03.24	Lukas Klein - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

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