Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Tommy Paul		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.81
	1.49	2.81
	1.5	2.6
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
65.1%

Alex Michelsen
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Tommy Paul - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paul will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Jack Draper - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Jordan Thompson - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Alex Michelsen - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
22.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
15.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Tommy Paul	1:2

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