Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Alex Michelsen		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.78	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	2.17
			Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.37)	2.09 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
54.3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.9%	0%	44.1%

Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Tsitsipas (votes: 7 - 36.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tsitsipas (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 12 - 60%). Tsitsipas (votes: 8 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 25.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Halle
17.06.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Alex Michelsen - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Halle
16.06.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
26.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Michelsen	1:3
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1

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