Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo (Japan) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tomas Machac		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.89	1.88	Watch
	1.97	1.92
	2.01	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.89	Watch
	1.89	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
49.5%

Alex Michelsen
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tomas Machac - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 34. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 49.

Recent matches Machac is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michelsen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
11.09.24	Tomas Machac - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Machac T. retired ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.24	Jack Draper - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WW??L
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Tokyo
28.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Tomas Machac	0:2

Tomas Machac - Alex Michelsen