Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Alex Molcan		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
58.7%

Dusan Lajovic
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+3%)

Alex Molcan - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Molcan (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 205. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 121.

Molcan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lajovic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Molcan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molcan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Alex Molcan - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Mark Lajal - Alex Molcan	Molcan A. retired ✺
17.09.25	Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Alex Molcan - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Alex Molcan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 W???W
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Henri Squire - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
02.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Alex Molcan	1:2
ATP Hamburg
15.07.21	Dusan Lajovic - Alex Molcan	2:1

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