Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - Final

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Alexander Blockx		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.46
	2.54	1.49
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.37)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
36.1%

Rafael Jodar
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Blockx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Jodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexander Blockx - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Blockx will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Blockx will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 115. Jodar is ranked ATP: 165.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Blockx may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Alexander Blockx - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
21.12.25	Learner Tien - Alexander Blockx	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rafael Jodar	Jacquet K. retired ✺
08.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Jaime Faria - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWW?

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