Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 5 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Alexander Blockx		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.75	2.15
	1.79	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
54.4%

Mark Lajal
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Blockx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	0%	42.3%

Alexander Blockx - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Blockx will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Lajal will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blockx: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 203. Lajal is ranked ATP: 235.

Recent matches Blockx is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lajal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Blockx won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Jurij Rodionov - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Alexander Blockx - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Alexander Blockx - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.12.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Mark Lajal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Mark Lajal - Cleeve Harper	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Mark Lajal - Alexander Blockx	0:2

Alexander Blockx - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide