Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Rafael Jodar		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
66.3%

Nicolas Jarry
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Jarry will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jarry (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 165. Jarry is ranked ATP: 133.

Jodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jarry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
03.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
19.12.25	Martin Landaluce - Rafael Jodar	0:3 ✺
18.12.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Rafael Jodar	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Learner Tien - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 ?WWLW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?LLLL

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