Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	6.45	1.09	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
26.9%

Rafael Jodar
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyrian Jacquet's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyrian Jacquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kyrian Jacquet - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 136. Jodar is ranked ATP: 165.

Jacquet is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jodar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Dan Added - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Jaime Faria - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
03.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWW?W

Kyrian Jacquet - Rafael Jodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide