Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday


	Jiri Lehecka		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.53	2.5
	1.57	2.4
	1.57	2.54
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	2.43 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
60.9%

Emil Ruusuvuori
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Emil Ruusuvuori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiri Lehecka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emil Ruusuvuori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	0%	15.2%

Jiri Lehecka - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (39 of 46 users predict this - 84.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.4% – 95.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ruusuvuori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lehecka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Federico Coria - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Jiri Lehecka - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LWWL
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
22.02.23	Jiri Lehecka - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jiri Lehecka	2:0
ATP Metz
20.09.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jiri Lehecka	2:0

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