Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TORONTO (CANADA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alexander Bublik		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.6	1.47
	2.73	1.45
	2.76	1.5
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.38)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
34.7%

Hubert Hurkacz
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hubert Hurkacz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.3%	0%	76.7%

Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bublik won 0.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Hurkacz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Gael Monfils - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.23	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
07.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Maximilian Marterer	3:0 ✺
06.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	3:0 ✺
03.07.23	Alexander Bublik - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Michael Mmoh	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
07.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
06.07.23	Jan Choinski - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
03.07.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
25.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP United Cup
01.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:1
ATP Astana
06.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Dubai
22.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	3:0
ATP Dubai
25.02.20	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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