Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 2
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Alexander Bublik		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.92
	1.48	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.47	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
65.5%

Marin Cilic
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Cilic will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 30. Cilic is ranked ATP: 83.

Bublik is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Cilic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bublik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Marin Cilic - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Marin Cilic - Jaume Munar	3:1 ✺
03.07.25	Jack Draper - Marin Cilic	1:3 ✺
01.07.25	Raphael Collignon - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
28.06.25	Marin Cilic - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
15.06.22	Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic	0:2
ATP Roma
10.05.21	Marin Cilic - Alexander Bublik	2:1
14.09.20	Marin Cilic - Alexander Bublik	2:1

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