Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	19:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	HBO Max
Brazil	14:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	20:00	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Croatia	19:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Denmark	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	20:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	19:00	Eurosport 2
Moldova	20:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	19:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	19:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	19:00	HBO Max
Norway	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	18:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Romania	20:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	19:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	19:00	HBO Max
Spain	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	19:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	20:00	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United Kingdom	18:00	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Alexander Bublik		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.92
	1.48	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.47	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
65.5%

Marin Cilic
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Cilic will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 30. Cilic is ranked ATP: 83.

Bublik is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Cilic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bublik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Marin Cilic - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Marin Cilic - Jaume Munar	3:1 ✺
03.07.25	Jack Draper - Marin Cilic	1:3 ✺
01.07.25	Raphael Collignon - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
28.06.25	Marin Cilic - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
15.06.22	Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic	0:2
ATP Roma
10.05.21	Marin Cilic - Alexander Bublik	2:1
14.09.20	Marin Cilic - Alexander Bublik	2:1

Alexander Bublik - Marin Cilic