Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Alexander Bublik		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.66
	1.57	2.36	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.49	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.31)	2.66 ↓ (3.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
64.1%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tirante (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tirante (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 50%). Tirante (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 30. Tirante is ranked ATP: 130.

Now, both players are in good form.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Federico Cina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Nerman Fatic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

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