Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - Final

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Alexander Bublik		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.55	Watch
	1.33	3.64
	1.24	4.12	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.69 ↑ (3.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
74%

Arthur Cazaux
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Alexander Bublik - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 9 - 90%). Cazaux (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 30. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 100.

Bublik is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cazaux is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:3

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