Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday


	Alexander Bublik		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.06
	1.78	2.15
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)	2.11 (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
55%

Mikael Ymer
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mikael Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alexander Bublik - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Ymer will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Basel
28.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Florence
14.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Paris
30.10.22	Jiri Lehecka - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Constant Lestienne	Lestienne C. retired ✺
ATP Stockholm
21.10.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
20.10.22	Mikael Ymer - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Quentin Halys - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
27.11.21	Alexander Bublik - Mikael Ymer	2:1

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