Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday


	Aslan Karatsev		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.7	1.44
	2.93	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
32.8%

Alexander Bublik
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	0%	80.8%

Aslan Karatsev - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bublik is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Basel
23.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
19.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
17.10.22	Lukas Rosol - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Florence
14.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
06.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
04.10.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
06.05.21	Aslan Karatsev - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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