Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alexander Bublik		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.94	1.96
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.82	1.99	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
52%

Nicolas Jarry
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.5%	0%	15.5%

Alexander Bublik - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (49 of 58 users predict this - 84.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.16% – 93.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jarry is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bublik won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
22.10.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
13.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Challenger
25.02.17	Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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