Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Alexander Bublik		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	5	1.16	Watch
	4.8	1.19	Watch
	5.19	1.18
	4.72	1.18	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.96	1.18	Watch
	4.8	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.43)	1.18 ↓ (1.21)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
19.5%

Casper Ruud
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

78.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 76. Ruud is ranked ATP: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1.

Bublik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ruud is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ruud is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Madrid
04.05.25	Casper Ruud - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
25.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:1
ATP Miami
27.03.22	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Paris
02.11.21	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Madrid
07.05.21	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP St Petersburg
18.09.19	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:1

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