Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Nicolas Jarry		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.06
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.11)	2.02 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
53.9%

Adrian Mannarino
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Jarry will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 149. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 130.

Recent performances by Jarry have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mannarino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jarry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Nicolas Jarry - Arthur Fils	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Hugo Gaston - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Adrian Mannarino - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Luca Van Assche - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Adrian Mannarino - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Carlos Taberner - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
24.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	2:1

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