Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.6	2.48
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)	2.37 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
59.9%

Nicolas Jarry
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Jarry (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jarry (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 16. Jarry is ranked ATP: 57.

Two players are playing changeable.

Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dimitrov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.25	Novak Djokovic - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Shanghai
13.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0
ATP Geneva
27.05.23	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Barcelona
25.04.19	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	1:2

Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide