Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: AIX EN PROVENCE (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Alexander Bublik		Riccardo Bonadio

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	2.46 ↓ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
62%

Riccardo Bonadio
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Riccardo Bonadio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Alexander Bublik aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Riccardo Bonadio aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexander Bublik - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Bonadio will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonadio: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonadio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bublik is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bonadio to win the game is with odds 2.95.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
29.04.23	Mate Valkusz - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Jiri Vesely	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Alexander Ritschard	Ritschard A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWW?

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