Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Alexander Donski		Aryan Shah

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.19	1.7
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
44.5%

Aryan Shah
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.

Aryan Shah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aryan Shah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alexander Donski - Aryan Shah Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Donski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 655. Shah is ranked ATP: 395.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Timofey Skatov - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Alexander Donski - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Aryan Shah
ATP Challenger
26.07.25	Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Aryan Shah - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Aryan Shah - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Fajing Sun - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWL

Alexander Donski - Aryan Shah: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide