Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Aryan Shah		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.40	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.8)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryan Shah
38.7%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryan Shah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryan Shah's performance.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryan Shah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Alvarez Varona (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shah is ranked ATP: 442. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 298.

Shah is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alvarez Varona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alvarez Varona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryan Shah
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Aryan Shah - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Aryan Shah - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Fajing Sun - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Aryan Shah - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Johannus Monday	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. walkover ✺
22.07.25	Fajing Sun - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?WLL

Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide