Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Louisville, KY, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Alexander Frusina		William Jansen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.30	1.55
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Frusina
39.6%

William Jansen
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Frusina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

William Jansen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Frusina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Frusina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for William Jansen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for William Jansen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexander Frusina - William Jansen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frusina is ranked ATP: 1227. Jansen is ranked ATP: 1369.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jansen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jansen could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Frusina
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Ryan Colby - Alexander Frusina	Colby R. Retired ✺
09.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Xavier Calvelo	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Alexander Frusina - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Andrea Paolini - Alexander Frusina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWLW
- William Jansen
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Joshua Peck - William Jansen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	William Jansen - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Theo Papamalamis - William Jansen	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	William Jansen - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.06.26	Dev Javia - William Jansen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Alexander Frusina - William Jansen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide