Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.64	1.55
	2.48	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.52	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.06)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
37.8%

Alexander Bublik
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Shevchenko's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Shevchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Bublik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Bublik will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bublik (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 101. Bublik is ranked ATP: 34.

Shevchenko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bublik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shevchenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.25	Henry Searle - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	David Goffin - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
21.06.25	Elias Ymer - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
22.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
02.02.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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