Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Alexander Bublik		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
			Watch
	1.64	2.41
			Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	2.38 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
59.9%

Karen Khachanov
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Khachanov will win (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Khachanov (votes: 9 - 56.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Bublik (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 11 - 55%). Khachanov (votes: 9 - 45%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 45. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 22.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
02.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Jack Draper	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWWLW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Halle
20.06.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
23.08.20	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Bublik	2:0

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