Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.27	1.7
	2.24	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.69	Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
43.1%

Francisco Cerundolo
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shevchenko: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 61. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 31.

Shevchenko is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shevchenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Almaty
16.10.24	Aslan Karatsev - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Almaty
16.10.24	Justin Engel - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Francisco Cerundolo	Shevchenko A. retired

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