Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Karen Khachanov		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.66	2.18	Watch
	1.73	2.23
	1.69	2.22	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	2.17 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
56.2%

Francisco Cerundolo
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 31.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 5.

Recent matches Khachanov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Jack Draper - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
12.08.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2
30.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Montreal
08.08.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	1:2

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