Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Alexander Weis		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.78	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.99)	2 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
53.4%

Andrea Collarini
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Weis's performance.

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Collarini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Weis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Collarini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Weis - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Weis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Collarini is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Alexander Weis - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Hugo Dellien - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Alexander Weis - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLL
- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
18.03.24	Andrea Collarini - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
04.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
04.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

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