Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - Final

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Gustavo Heide		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.27	Watch
	1.3	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	3.23 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
71.1%

Andrea Collarini
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Users Predictions: Gustavo Heide will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gustavo Heide will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Heide is ranked ATP: 309. Collarini is ranked ATP: 272.

Heide is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Collarini is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Heide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Heide is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Nicolas Kicker	Kicker N. retired ✺
20.11.25	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Leonardo Storck Franca	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?WWL
- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Mariano Kestelboim	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.11.24	Andrea Collarini - Gustavo Heide	0:2
27.09.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	1:2
14.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0
22.01.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0

Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide