Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ASUNCION (PARAGUAY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Alexander Weis		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.71	1.5
	2.71	1.51
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
35%

Gustavo Heide
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Alexander Weis - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Weis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heide is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Weis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heide will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Heide to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
21.03.24	Hugo Dellien - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Alexander Weis - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.24	Alexander Weis - Brian Bozemoj	Weis A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLL?
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
21.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

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