Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Brandon Nakashima		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.67
	1.46	2.58	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)	2.58 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
63.4%

Kamil Majchrzak
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Brandon Nakashima - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 65.

Recent performances by Nakashima have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Majchrzak is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 64.82%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
22.09.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Marcos Giron - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Leandro Riedi	Majchrzak K. retired ✺
28.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Brandon Nakashima - Kamil Majchrzak	3:2
ATP Roma
08.05.22	Brandon Nakashima - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0

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