Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:40	ESPN
Australia	02:40	beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:40	Laola1
Brazil	13:40	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	19:40	Max Sport 1
Colombia	11:40	ESPN
Croatia	18:40	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	18:40	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	18:40	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	19:40	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	18:40	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	18:40	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	18:40	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:40	Sport TV2
Romania	19:40	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	18:40	SportKlub 1
Sweden	18:40	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	17:40	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Luciano Darderi		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.20	1.36
	2.90	1.41	Watch
	3.35	1.41
	2.91	1.41
	3.20	1.38
	3.08	1.40	Watch
	3.05	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	1.39 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
30.8%

Brandon Nakashima
69.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Nakashima will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nakashima (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 22. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31.

Darderi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nakashima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nakashima is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Nakashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. Retired ✺
ATP Estoril
25.07.26	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WW??L
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	✺
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Brandon Nakashima	✺

Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide