Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.56	2.57
	1.50	2.60	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
60.9%

Fabian Marozsan
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Brandon Nakashima - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Marozsan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Nakashima (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 3 - 75%). Marozsan (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 34. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 52.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nakashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.27%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Fabian Marozsan - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Brandon Nakashima - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Almaty
13.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

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