Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.51	2.6
	1.59	2.51
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)	2.52 ↓ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
62.1%

Fabian Marozsan
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabian Marozsan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Marozsan will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 26. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 47.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mensik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Adam Walton - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Bucharest
04.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Fabian Marozsan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:1
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:0

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