Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Alexandre Muller		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.22
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
57.8%

Ugo Blanchet
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ugo Blanchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexandre Muller - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Blanchet will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Muller is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blanchet in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Blanchet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Alexandre Muller - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Timur Maulenov	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Sebastian Korda - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Maxime Janvier - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWW

Alexandre Muller - Ugo Blanchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide