Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:05	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:05	SportKlub
Brazil	15:05	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	21:05	Max Sport 1
Croatia	20:05	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:05	Eurosport 2
Denmark	20:05	TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:05	Discovery+
France	20:05	Eurosport 1
Germany	20:05	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	20:05	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	19:05	Sport TV
Romania	21:05	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	20:05	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:05	SportKlub
Sweden	20:05	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	21:05	Setanta Sports


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.9
	2.02	1.82
	1.94	1.87
	2	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.93)	1.89 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
49.3%

Aslan Karatsev
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.3%	0%	53.7%

Jan Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 31 - 46.3%). Karatsev will win (votes: 36 - 53.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 41.8% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Struff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Madrid
04.05.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Dusan Lajovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Madrid
04.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Aslan Karatsev - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	✺

Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev